#477/478 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 45 Points – Kansas City vs Denver, Saturday at 4:30 PM ET - KC has clinched the AFC West already but they do still potentially have something to play for. If they win and Tennessee loses @ Houston (unlikely) the Chiefs can move up to the #1 seed. We love the way KC’s defense is playing right now. The only 2 poor outings they’ve had over their last 9 games were vs the Bengals & Chargers, two of the better offenses in the NFL. In their other 7 games the KC defense has not allowed more than 17 points and they held 4 of those opponents to 10 points or less. The Denver offense has been terrible as of late scoring 13 or less in 4 of their last 5 games. Bridgewater is out at QB for the Broncos and his back up Lock has done nothing the last 2 weeks. They’ve scored 13 points in each of their last 2 games while totaling 158 yards vs Las Vegas and 319 yards vs the LA Chargers who have one of the worst defenses in the NFL (26th in scoring defense). In their last 5 meetings with the Chiefs the Broncos have scored an average of just 10 PPG and they haven’t topped 16 points in any of those games. Earlier this year they scored only 9 points @ KC in a 22-9 loss. Denver will struggle to score here vs this hot KC defense. The Broncos defense is the strength of their team to say the least. They rank 9th in total defense and 3rd in points scored allowing just 18 PPG. They’ve had some solid success vs Mahomes and company holding them to 23 or less in 3 of the last 4 meetings. The only chance Denver has is to make this a very slow paced type game which they are used to ranking 29th in the NFL in that category. KC may play fast early but if they get a lead they are known for milking the clock in the 2nd half (15th in 2nd half pace) in that situation. The Under is 5-1-1 the last 7 in this AFC West rivalry and we expect another one here.