ASA top play on 10* OVER 221 Atlanta Hawks @ Dallas Mavericks, 6:10 PM ET - This shapes up to be a high scoring affair with plenty of points from both teams. The Mavs were on a strong UNDER streak in mid-January with 8 straight games staying below the Total but recently they’ve gone OVER in 5 of six. Dallas has the 4th best offensive efficiency rating in the NBA over the last five game span at 1.222-points per possession. On the season they have a top 5 defensive efficiency rating but in their last five games they’ve regressed on that end of the court to 11th allowing 1.123PPP. The Mavs recently put up 132 points against the Pacers and Blazers and they shouldn’t have a problem scoring here against a Hawks defense that is one of the worst in the league. Atlanta is 27th in DEFF, 24th in points allowed per game, 23rd and 25th in overall FG% defense and 3-point% defense. What Atlanta does to well is score points. The Hawks are 7th in scoring, 6th in shooting and 1st in 3-point percentage offensively. With current injuries to both teams we are projecting small ball lineups for both teams which should lead to a faster tempo and an up-and-down game. Four of the last six meetings have resulting in 221 or more points. The bet here is OVER.