#469/470 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 37.5 Points – Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers, Saturday at 4 PM ET - Defenses should control this one with 2 of the top stop units in the NFL facing off. San Francisco ranks #1 in total defense while Washington ranks 3rd in that category. They are both in the top 10 in YPP allowed and PPG allowed. These 2 defenses have been even more proficient as of late with SF ranking 1st in the NFL since week 11 allowing opponents just 0.87 points per drive and Washington ranking 2nd in that stat allowing only 1.27 points per drive. The Commanders have not allowed more than 21 points in any of their last 10 games and SF has held 7 straight opponents to 17 points or fewer. Offensively Washington struggles to say the least. The rank 26th in YPP gained and 25th in scoring at 18.9 PPG. That’s despite playing the 30th toughest defensive schedule this season. In 5 of their last 6 games the Commanders have faced defenses ranked 26th, 27th (twice), 31st, and 32nd and in those 5 games they’ve averaged 18 PPG. Now they face the best defense in the NFL and we expect very little offensive. SF clinched the NFC West with their win last week but only scored 21 points vs a Seattle defense that ranks 29th overall. Washington now has 3 weeks of film on rookie QB Purdy who had only 217 yards passing last week. Niner head coach Shanahan also hinted at possibly giving some of his offensive skill players a rest at some point to make sure they are ready for the playoffs. We know Deebo Samuel is out for this one. Lastly we have 2 slow paced teams in this game with Washington 25th in adjusted tempo and San Fran 31st. We’re on the Under in this game.