ASA free play on OVER 220 Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks, 5:30 PM ET - The obvious aspect to look for in a game first is the ‘value’ in the pointspread. Today we got that with the O/U number of 218.5. In the two regular season games played in Milwaukee the oddsmakers set O/U’s o 223.5 and 224 and those games finished with 227 and 238 total points being scored. The Bucks dictate tempo at home and want to play a faster paced, higher scoring game and the Heat are forced to play along. Both of those regular season games saw 190 and 189 field goal attempts, which is significantly higher than the league average of 176. The venue clearly has a role in this series as the last five meetings in Milwaukee have all gone Over the Total. Milwaukee was the 6th most efficient offense at home this season at 1.181-points per possession. The Heat were one of the lower scoring teams in the NBA at just under 110PPG, but they weren’t as good defensively, especially when it comes to opponents FG% and 3PT% as they rank 22nd in the league in both categories. The Heat are also better offensively with aging Vets Kevin Love and Kyle Lowry on the floor, but much worse defensively. Easy OVER call here.