NFL Friday Special
(NFL) Packers (GB) vs. Eagles (PHI),
Total: 48.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
ASA play on OVER 48.5 Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles, Friday 8:20 PM ET (Brazil) - We are typically reluctant to play Overs on prime-time TV games but will make an exception here. These two teams are much better on one side of the football than the other and it starts with the offenses for both teams. When it comes to DVOA rankings the Packers had the 6th best offense in the NFL a year ago, the Eagles were 9th. The Packers averaged 5.7PPG on offense good for 6th best, the Eagles ranked 13th in Yards Per Play at 5.4. Both teams had explosive offenses. It took Philadelphia on average 14.3 yards gained per point (7th), Green Bay averaged 145.3YPPT (11th). On the defensive side of the football both teams struggled. The Eagles were 4th from the bottom of the league in defensive DVOA, the Packers weren’t much better ranking 27th. Philadelphia gave up 25.6PPG on the season, while Green Bay allowed 21.4PPG. The Packers numbers are slightly better than they should be as they faced 12 opponents last season that ranked in the bottom half of the league in total offense. The Eagles allowed 30+ points in 5 of their last eight games last season and Green Bay with QB Love scored 30+ in 3 of their last five games. We expect both teams to get into the mid-to-high 20’s in this game which will push this Over the number.