#141 ASA PLAY ON Mississippi -11.5 over Florida, Saturday at 12 PM ET - Ole Miss is coming off a bye after dominating Georgia 2 weeks ago 28-10. They outgained the Bulldogs in that win by 150 yards and held them to just 59 yards rushing in 1.8 YPC. That a UGA team many still consider among the best few in the country as they’ve already beaten Texas on the road by double digits and beat Tennessee by 2 TD’s last week. The Rebs absolutely dominated that game and with 2 losses, they need to win out to make sure they are included in the College FB playoff. While Ole Miss is rested off a bye, the Florida defense could be in trouble here as they were on the field for 42 minutes and a whopping 92 plays last week in their win over LSU, a game the Tigers outgained the Gators. Now they face an up tempo Rebel offense that ranks 2nd nationally in total offense, 2nd in YPP, and averages 41 PPG. The previous 2 weeks Florida lost by 2 TD’s to UGA and by 32 points vs Texas. Gator true freshman QB Lagway isn’t 100% (hamstring) and will have problem vs a great Ole Miss defense that ranks 6th nationally in YPP allowed and 2nd in rush defense giving up only 79 YPG on the ground. Lagway didn’t have a rushing attempt last week which simply solidifies the fact he’s not 100%. Teams simply can’t run on the Rebels which will put a lot of pressure on Lagway to make plays through the air to stay in this game. He’s been pretty average this year for the most part completing only 58% of his passes with 7 TD’s and 5 picks. The Ole Miss defense is in the top 5 nationally in pressure rate which will make it tough on the young QB, especially if they can’t run the ball which we’ve stated we don’t think they will. Ole Miss is an impressive +3.2 YPP margin vs very good competition (Florida is +0.7 YPP). The Rebels are good enough to win the National Championship this year but they need to win out to have a chance. They’ve already won 3 true road games by 24+ points and we see another one here.