#916 ASA PLAY ON Texas Rangers -1.5 on the Run Line (+125) over Chicago White Sox, Monday at 8:05 PM ET - We love spots like this when the markets tend to be fooled into looking one way but the reality is another way. Erick Fedde has good overall numbers and a low ERA this season. As a result of this for the White Sox starter, Chicago is being over-valued here. Let's not forget that the White Sox have lost 7 straight games and are the worst team in the majors by far! Also, when Fedde does struggle it tends to be on the road. His first road start this season was a quality start but since then he has compiled a mediocre 4.40 ERA away from home. Also, his White Sox are on pace to finish at or above the all time record in the modern era of baseball for losses in a season. This Chicago team is particularly bad on the road where they have lost 40 of 50 games! As for the Rangers Michael Lorenzen, he has been particularly tough at home! He has a 3.12 ERA at home and is holding hitters to a .193 batting average when he pitches on his home mound! Now he gets to display his repertoire of pitches against the worst lineup in the majors. Note that the White Sox have scored only 1.9 runs per game last 8 games and have lost 7 games in a row! 8 of last 9 losses have come by a multi-run margin. Texas has scored about 5 runs per game last 17 games and has won 8 of 12 games. This is a mismatch but we get line value because an over-valued Fedde is scheduled to go for Chicago here. Rangers build off the much needed win yesterday and we look for the Rangers to pull away as this game gets into the middle and later innings. Lay it!