Only once in their last eight games have the Vikings lost by more than seven points and that was an eight-point loss.

The Dolphins are beat up physically and in a bad place mentally with their playoff hopes realistically dashed and third-year head coach Joe Philbin almost certainly out after missing the postseason once again.

Miami has been outscored by 56 points during the past seven quarters. The Vikings, on the other hand, are an improving team showing spunk under defensive whiz Mike Zimmer. He has greatly improved Minnesota's defense. Teddy Bridgewater is showing better command of the offense. The Dolphins' pass rush has ground to a near halt recording just two sacks during the last two games, while facing 69 pass attempts.

The Dolphins are averaging just 3.3 yards per carry during their last 31 rushing attempts. They are not a big-play passing team either. So this is too high of a spread for them to cover.

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover was perfect on his NFL plays last week as he tries to beat the books for the 19th time in the last 21 years in the NFL. In addition to this free selection, Stephen has his most rare play going - his 100-Dimer which he has cashed better than 70 percent in his lifetime - along with his Total of the Month and his Underdog Delight play.