FREE
Stephen Nover Free Sunday Play
(MLB) Houston vs. Texas,
Total: 8.50 | 108.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 8.50 | 108.00 Over
Result: Loss
Looking for an underrated American League starter? Step right up Dallas Keuchel.
The 27-year-old Houston lefty has allowed three runs or less in 11 of his last 12 starts. He has a 2.18 ERA going back to last July 25 and opened the season with a 2-0 victory against the Indians allowing only three hits in seven innings.
The under has cashed in nine of Keuchel's past 10 starts. The Rangers could be down two starting outfielders. Ryan Rua is out with a sprained ankle and Shin-Soo Choo may not play after missing Saturday's game due to back spasms.
Texas starter Colby Lewis pitched extremely well, too, in his opener holding the A's to one run on three hits in six innings during a 3-1 victory this past Tuesday. The veteran right-hander is 5-1 with a 1.54 ERA in 10 lifetime games against the Astros, including seven starts.
The under is 20-5-1 in the Astros' past 26 road games. Houston also is 24-6-1 to the under the past 31 times when facing a right-handed starter.
The under has cashed during the past seven meetings between the two teams.
However, there are two factors that keep me from making this play more than just a free selection with a one-unit recommendation. Those factors are scheduled home plate umpire Lazaro Diaz and wind.
Since 2012 the over has cashed 61 percent of the time during Diaz's 93 games as a home plate ump. The weather forecast calls for the wind to blow out to left at 16 mph.
The 27-year-old Houston lefty has allowed three runs or less in 11 of his last 12 starts. He has a 2.18 ERA going back to last July 25 and opened the season with a 2-0 victory against the Indians allowing only three hits in seven innings.
The under has cashed in nine of Keuchel's past 10 starts. The Rangers could be down two starting outfielders. Ryan Rua is out with a sprained ankle and Shin-Soo Choo may not play after missing Saturday's game due to back spasms.
Texas starter Colby Lewis pitched extremely well, too, in his opener holding the A's to one run on three hits in six innings during a 3-1 victory this past Tuesday. The veteran right-hander is 5-1 with a 1.54 ERA in 10 lifetime games against the Astros, including seven starts.
The under is 20-5-1 in the Astros' past 26 road games. Houston also is 24-6-1 to the under the past 31 times when facing a right-handed starter.
The under has cashed during the past seven meetings between the two teams.
However, there are two factors that keep me from making this play more than just a free selection with a one-unit recommendation. Those factors are scheduled home plate umpire Lazaro Diaz and wind.
Since 2012 the over has cashed 61 percent of the time during Diaz's 93 games as a home plate ump. The weather forecast calls for the wind to blow out to left at 16 mph.
