Stephen Nover's MLB Total of the Year
(MLB) Cincinnati vs. San Francisco,
Total: 7.00 | 110.00 Under
Result: Win
The starting pitchers aren't very good, the offenses are rolling and the bullpens are gassed. There's a slight breeze blowing out and the home plate umpire, Clint Fagen, has had more overs than unders while he's been behind the plate this season.

Everything is in place for this total to go over.

The over has cashed in the Giants' last seven home games. The Reds have gone above the total in 10 of their past 13 games.

San Francisco is averaging eight runs in its last five games. The Giants draw one of the Reds' weakest starters, Michael Lorenzen.

Lorenzen is 4-8 with a 5.45 ERA. He's 2-4 on the road with a 6.59 ERA. He has a 6.05 ERA when pitching at night. During his last four starts, Lorenzen has given up 16 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings, yielding 31 hits and five walks during this span.

The Reds have a brutal bullpen except for closer Aroldis Chapman and he's not likely to pitch after going 1 2/3 innings Tuesday night throwing 42 pitches, the second-most he's thrown in a game this season. Cincinnati relievers have worked 15 innings during the past three days. They are overworked and bad - a combustible combination.

Giants starter Jake Peavy has a 4.15 ERA on the season. His ERA rises to 4.59 in night contests. Peavy is well past his prime. The Reds have scored 34 runs in their last six games, an average of 5.6 runs per game.

The Giants' bullpen is overworked, too, throwing 13 2/3 innings during the past three days.