Bartolo Colon is 42. He's less than six-feet tall yet weighs close to 290 pounds. His ERA is 4.15 and he has a history of fading as the long baseball season enters the late stages. The Braves already have seen Colon four times this year. They are not going to be fooled.

The Braves are starting rookie right-hander Williams Perez, who has a 5.16 ERA. He's pitched better lately, but three of his last four starts have come against the Phillies twice and Marlins. The Phillies and Marlins rank among the three lowest scoring teams in baseball.

Against the Mets this season, Perez has yielded seven runs in 12 innings giving up 13 hits and five walks. The over has cashed 74 percent of the past 34 times the Mets have faced a righty.

Paul Schrieber is slated to be the home plate umpire. The over has cashed 54 percent of the time he's been the home plate ump during the past two seasons.