I'm going to fade the early money that has come on Mississippi State. The line has gotten low enough to back Auburn on the money line. I see the Tigers bouncing back strong at home in this huge revenge game.

The Bulldogs defeated Auburn, 38-23, last year in Starkville. The Bulldogs, though, just outgained the Tigers by 28 yards.

People are afraid to back Auburn because the Tigers have not looked good so far, are off a 24-point road loss to LSU and are switching quarterbacks.

But home field, stepping down in class and turning to a better quarterback are all pluses for Auburn in this matchup.

Auburn has won 15 of its 16 home games in the two plus seasons Gus Malzahn has been coach. This includes a victory against LSU last year and wins over Mississippi State and Alabama two seasons ago when they last hosted those teams. Auburn's lone home loss under Malzahn was against Texas A&M and the Tigers outgained the Aggies by 129 yards.

Malzahn has made a quarterback change going from ineffective Jeremy Johnson to highly-touted Sean White, a consensus top 10 recruit two years ago.

Mississippi State has failed to cover in four of its last five road games. The Bulldogs aren't as tough on defense as a couple of teams Auburn already has played - LSU and Louisville. Mississippi State lost 12 starters from a year, including its top defensive lineman and linebacker. Their inexperienced offensive line is going to be up against a tough crowd at Jordan Hare Stadium.