The Big Ten has looked bad in the NCAA Tournament. I'm not a fan of Iowa either. The Hawkeyes survived rather than won their first round tournament game nipping Temple, 72-70, in overtime as seven-point favorites. It's the eighth time in their last nine games the Hawkeyes have failed to cover.

Temple outrebounded Iowa by 11 boards. The Hawkeyes got away with that and shooting just 35 percent from the field. Even if they play better versus Villanova - which there is no guarantee that is going to happen - they still lack the firepower to hang within this point spread number.

Villanova's Jay Wright is an elite coach. Yet the Wildcats have failed to reach the Sweet 16 each of the last three years in the NCAA Tournament. That's due to end right now. If you go by KenPom.com's adjusted offensive and defensive ratings, the Wildcats rank with Virginia and Kansas as one of the three best teams in the country.

Iowa is nowhere near that level. The Hawkeyes also have failed to cover in 13 of their last 16 neutral site games.