The Phillies' brutal bullpen could put this total over just by itself. Philadelphia starter Jarad Eickoff has potential, but is far from a sure thing. Neither he nor the Phillies' bullpen can be counted on.

However, Mets starter Jacob deGrom's velocity was down during spring training and he could be distracted since his first child is due any day. The Phillies batted .313 versus deGrom last season. The Phillies have gone over the past four times facing a righty. The over also is 18-7-1 in deGrom's 26 starts versus foes with a losing record.

Neither pitcher is going to be helped by a weather forecast that calls for the wind to be blowing out at 15 miles per hour.

Put all this together and it's not difficult to see at least seven runs being scored.