I don't see the Rays beating Corey Kluber and Carolos Carrasco in back-to-back games. The Rays are below .500 even after defeating Indians ace Kluber last night. Tampa Bay just isn't that good of a team. They've trailed in 55 of 63 innings this season.

The Rays have had problems with AL Central Division teams losing 17 of the past 25 times. They also have dropped six of their last eight games to the Indians at Tropicana Field.

If Carrasco isn't an ace, he's close. I like him better than Drew Smyly, who has a 4.00 career ERA in three starts against Cleveland. Those outings all were with the Tigers, though. Carrasco nearly no-hit the Rays when he last faced them at Tropicana Field last July 1 coming within one strike of accomplishing the feat. Carrasco has a 2.91 lifetime ERA versus the Rays with a 34-to-8 strikeout-to-walk ratio.

Cleveland has won eight of the last 10 times Carrasco has pitched on the road and also is 7-2 during Carrasco's last nine road starts against foes with a losing record.

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover swept his Tuesday baseball plays and has yet to lose a baseball over/under this season with his Total of the Week going today.)