It's easy to envision offense when thinking about Toronto because of DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowery. But only San Antonio and Utah surrendered fewer points per game than the Raptors. Indiana is no slouch defensively, either, ranking eighth in fewest points per game.

Given the increased defensive intensity of the playoffs, an early start time and the rust of being idle since Wednesday - when both teams held out their best players to rest - I see the total going under here.

These teams have a history of going under, too, when playing fellow Eastern Conference opponents. The under has cashed 13 of the last 19 times the Pacers have met an Eastern Conference foe while the under is 9-3 the last 12 times the Raptors have gone against an Eastern Conference opponent. That's a combined under trend of 21-9 (70%).

The Raptors have the ace defender, DeMarre Carroll, to hold Pacers superstar Paul George in check.