I see the better team prevailing here - and that's Tampa Bay. I don't see the Lightning letting down like they did in their Game 3 loss after winning both of their home games.

This has been a penalty-filled series with the Red Wings trying to play tough guys to compensate for their talent shortcomings. The Lightning have the superior goaltending and penalty killing units. Tampa Bay goalie Ben Bishop has allowed two goals or fewer in 20 of his 27 career Stanley Cup games.

Detroit made a line adjustment to slow down the Lightning's top line of Tyler Johnson, Nikita Kucherov and Alex Kilorn. But I don't see that trio going scoreless a second straight game after combining for 15 points in the first two games of the series.