Value play as I don't believe the Brewers should be favored against a team that is playing better than they are.

The Twins are 4-1 in their last five games, over their early-season woes. They are averaging 5.2 runs during this span while batting .305. The Brewers are batting just .205 in their last four games without a home run. They are 4-11 in their last 15 home games.

Brewers starter Jimmy Nelson has a higher ceiling than Tommy Milone, but right now the youngster is more thrower than pitcher with control issues. Milone has a 1.38 career ERA in two starts in Milwaukee.