The Yankees have a huge pitching edge here - both starting-wise and in bullpen depth. Masahiro Tanaka has looked good through his first four starts and he's backed by stud relievers Dellin Betances and Andrew Miller. The Yankees are 10-3 the past 13 times Tanaka has pitched in division.

The Red Sox can't match that starting Henry Owens, who has had serious command issues throughout his career. The Yankees have patient, professional hitters so this is a bad matchup for Owens.

Boston also has had problems hosting the Yankees losing eight of the last 10 games at Fenway Park between the two teams.