Alfredo Simon and a total that is less than 10. That's really all that needs to be said about playing this game over and also laying a road price with the Mariners. I'm doing both.

Simon, in my opinion, is the worst starting pitcher in the major leagues. He is 1-4 with a 10.34 ERA and is coming off a 13-1 loss to the Indians in which he gave up 10 runs and 14 hits in 4 1/3 innings.

So why is he still in a big league rotation? Because he pitches for the Reds, a team down six starters as Anthony DeSclafani, Raisel Iglesias, Homer Bailey, Michael Lorenzen, Jon Moscot and Tim Adelman are all sidelined.

If this isn't enough, the Reds also have the worst bullpen. Their relievers came into the weekend with a 6.76 ERA. Cincinnati has surrendered a staggering 55 runs in their last six games. The Reds have lost each of these games with the average loss being by six runs a game. They have won only twice in their last 13 games.

Seattle has the second-best road mark in baseball at 17-7. The Mariners are swinging hot bats. If you discount getting shut out by the Angels last Sunday, they are averaging 6.1 runs in their last 10 games.

The Mariners are an underrated hitting team having to play their home games at Safeco Field, a strong pitcher's park. They have smacked nine homers in their last five game while playing at homer-friendly Camden Yards in Baltimore and now Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast is for the wind to be blowing out to right at 7-10 mph. The over has cashed in 67 percent of the past 51 games played at Great American Ball Park.

Seattle starter Wade Miley is nothing special, but he has won is last four decisions and is coming a 10-0 road victory against the Orioles where he allowed only two hits in six innings.

The Mariners have dominated the Reds beating them 12 of the last 14 times, including seven of the past eight.