It's hard to pass up this kind of value - so I'm on road underdog Tampa Bay. These teams are very close, certainly far closer than this money line shows for Game 5. Tampa Bay has won six of its past eight games and is 4-1 in its last five road matchups.

The Lightning have beaten the Penguins in five of the past seven meetings. They were outplayed in Games 2 and 3 of the series, though. However, Tampa Bay made some key adjustments and stepped up its game to win Game 4 this past Friday night.

The Lightning dominated through the first two periods in building a 4-0 lead. Their 30 shots on goal surpassed their total for any of the first three games in the series. Tampa Bay broke through against rookie Matt Murray, who had been brilliant in goal during the playoffs up until that time.

Now it's not a given that Murray will be back in goal for today's game. It could be Marc-Andre Fleury, who played for the first time in seven weeks in replacing Murray during the Lightning's Game 4 victory. Tampa Bay beat Fleury twice during the regular season scoring a combined nine goals against him. The Penguins also may be without defenseman Trevor Daley, who sustained a lower body injury in Game 4.