I don't see the Cardinals getting swept at home especially with Pittsburgh throwing Jeff Locke, who has a 7.16 road ERA in nine away starts. Locke also has a 4.04 lifetime ERA against the Cardinals in nine starts. Pittsburgh is 2-8 the past 10 times Locke has pitched on the road versus an above .500 foe.

Pittsburgh's bullpen has been pitching well, but carries a high fatigue rating having logged 20 1/3 innings during the last five days.

Cardinals starter Jamie Garcia has a 0.57 ERA in six career games against the Pirates. The Cardinals are 7-3 in their last 10 division games.