PREMIUM
Stephen Nover's Total of the Week
(NFL) Atlanta vs. Oakland,
Total: 49.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 49.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
It's easy to think offense when talking Falcons and Raiders. The Raiders nipped the Saints, 35-34, in Week 1 for a combined 69 points while the Falcons lost 31-24 to the Buccaneers for a combined 55 points.
So it's no surprise the oddsmaker has hung a high total on this matchup.
But there is more than meets the eye here. Both teams are coached by men with strong defensive backgrounds - Dan Quinn and Jack Del Rio. Each coach is in his second year so their defensive systems should be kicking in soon. I'm not suggesting either team's defense is first-rate - because they certainly aren't - but they will be improved. The Raiders defense is loaded with high draft picks.
So I see this total being overadjusted based on perception and opening week results. The Raiders put up their points against the worst defense in the NFC and were playing on a fast track.
Matt Ryan has a history of playing better at home and inside domes on a carpet surface. This is a road game for the Falcons on grass. Ryan has averaged 1.3 touchdown passes in his last 16 away contests compared to 1.7 touchdown passes at home. The Falcons play at a slower pace on the road. It's a factor why the under cashed in seven of their eight road matchups last season, including the last six.
Ryan's two best receivers, Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu, both aren't 100 percent because of ankle injuries.
So it's no surprise the oddsmaker has hung a high total on this matchup.
But there is more than meets the eye here. Both teams are coached by men with strong defensive backgrounds - Dan Quinn and Jack Del Rio. Each coach is in his second year so their defensive systems should be kicking in soon. I'm not suggesting either team's defense is first-rate - because they certainly aren't - but they will be improved. The Raiders defense is loaded with high draft picks.
So I see this total being overadjusted based on perception and opening week results. The Raiders put up their points against the worst defense in the NFC and were playing on a fast track.
Matt Ryan has a history of playing better at home and inside domes on a carpet surface. This is a road game for the Falcons on grass. Ryan has averaged 1.3 touchdown passes in his last 16 away contests compared to 1.7 touchdown passes at home. The Falcons play at a slower pace on the road. It's a factor why the under cashed in seven of their eight road matchups last season, including the last six.
Ryan's two best receivers, Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu, both aren't 100 percent because of ankle injuries.