Aside from Andrew Luck and T.Y. Hilton, the Colts hold no edges against Kansas City. The Chiefs should dominate both lines of scrimmage. They have the superior defense and running game.

Alex Smith isn't fancy. But he gets the job done. He's facing a very weak defense. The Colts give up nearly 29 points a game and 400 yards. They rank 28th in points allowed and yards surrendered.

The Colts haven't been able to protect Luck very well. He's been sacked an NFL-high 25 times. The Chiefs' overall team efficiency trumps Luck's one-man brilliance.