Stephen Nover's NFL Parlay of the Month
(NFL) Tennessee vs. Kansas City,
Point Spread: 5.50 | -110.00 Tennessee (Away)
Result: Win
This is a bad matchup for Kansas City made worse by cold weather conditions.

The Titans have the necessary ground attack to take advantage of the Chiefs' mediocre run defense made far more ineffective by star linebacker Derrick Johnson being out. Tennessee owns edges at running back, quarterback and offensive line.

Kansas City may be the luckiest team in the NFL. The Chiefs are 10-3 despite being outgained by an average of nearly 90 yards during their last six games. They are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games.

Kansas City has scored either a defensive touchdown or special teams touchdown in four of its last five games. The Chiefs are a plus 11 in takeaways/giveaways. They need turnovers to win. But Titans rising star quarterback Marcus Mariota hasn't committed a turnover in his last three games while throwing for multiple touchdown in eight of his last nine games.

The Titans are expected to get back their best defensive player in lineman Jurrell Casey. Tennessee's weakness is a vulnerable secondary. But Alex Smith's strength isn't as a downfield passer. Smith isn't helped either by freezing weather.

This is going to come down to who runs the ball better and I'll take DeMarco Murray and Mariota plus these points against Spencer Ware and Alex Smith.