Considering the circumstances and matchup, this total is too high.

Houston is an up-tempo, high-energy team that launches more 3-pointer than any team. But this marks the end of the Rockets' five-game, nine-day road swing so energy could be lacking. The Pacers also have the necessary perimeter defense to slow down Houston ranking fifth in 3-point defense.

The Rockets might be without Eric Gordon, their second-leading scorer, for a third consecutive game. He's dealing with a sore back. Trevor Ariza, the Rockets' fourth-leading scorer, is mired in an 8-for-32 shooting slump during the last four games.

Indiana has a reputation as a high-scoring team. But the Pacers are averaging 102.4 points in regulation during their last five games and rank just 14th in scoring.