Stephen Nover's NBA Wednesday Top Ticket
(NBA) Portland vs. San Antonio,
Point Spread: 11.00 | -110.00 Portland (Away)
Result: Win
Off an embarrassing loss and with every game crucial in their bid to make the playoffs, I believe the Trail Blazers give the Spurs a close game here.

San Anotnio is playing well. But the Spurs continually are overpriced. They are 1-6 ATS following a victory. They also are missing LaMarcus Aldridge, arguably their second-best player.

Portland trails Denver by 2 1/2 games for the last playoff spot in the West. The Trail Blazers were held to a season-low 77 points in a 23-point road loss to New Orleans last night.

The Trail Blazers are 4-0 ATS the past four times when playing without rest. They are still 5-2 in their last seven games despite that humilitating defeat. I see the Trail Blazers bouncing back to play a strong game.

Gregg Popovich doesn't care about winning by margins. He just wants to win and move on. The Spurs also have a tendency to play to the level of competion. During their last seven victories they've beaten the Pacers by one as 10-point favorites, the Pelicans by three in overtime as 6 1/2-point chalk, the Timberwolves by seven in overtime as 7 1/2-point favorites, the Rockets by 12, the Kings by 10 as 11 1/2-point favorites after falling behind by 28 points, the Warriors by 22 and the Hawks by eight as seven-point favorites despite committing 21 turnovers. All of these games were at home except the Pelicans matchup.

So you get the pattern of the Spurs playing to the level of competition. Minus the Rockets and Warriors - the two opponents the Spurs got excited about - San Antonio went 1-4 ATS with the lone cover coming by one point against Atlanta.