I predicted the Tar Heels would win the national title and I'm certainly not backing down now.

This isn't a fade on Gonzaga, but a play on North Carolina. Both teams have impressive talent and similar offensive skills. The Tar Heels hold the experience edge and rebounding advantage. Rebounding has been a weakness at times for the Zags this season. No team gets more offensive rebounds than North Carolina. Roy Williams has been to six NCAA championship games. This is Mark Few's first.

That can't be underestimated. The last time a West Coast team won the NCAA title was Arizona 20 years ago. The last program to win a championship during its first tile game appearance was Connecticut in 1999.

The Zags are 0-7 versus No. 1 seeds losing by an averaging of 14.4 points.

The Tar Heels also played in a far tougher conference and also had to go through a tougher NCAA Tournament pairing than Gonzaga.