Only twice in their last 16 games have the Heat lost by more than four points. I don't see Miami getting blown out here in a revenge spot from a 101-84 home loss to the Raptors and with the team back in sync following a blowout road victory against Charlotte in their last game. The Heat need every victory in their playoff quest.

The Heat have covered 13 of their last 16 versus opponents with a winning record. They are 8-2 ATS on the road the past 10 times versus an above .500 home team.

Erik Spoelstra has done a great job with Miami. I wouldn't argue if he were named Coach of the Year.

This is Toronot's second game with Kyle Lowry back a point guard. So there's still an adjustment period.