I like Julio Teheran especially with the Reds likely to be missing two of their key offensive players and I'm willing to take a leap of faith with Amir Garrett on this high of a total.

Teheran hasn't solved his new home park in Atlanta, but he's been tremendous on the road going 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA. He has a 2.25 ERA going back to his last 22 away starts and has a career 2.23 ERA in five starts versus the Reds.

Cincinnati probably is going to be missing outfielders Billy Hamilton and Scott Schebler. Both suffered shoulder injuries on Saturday. Hamilton leads the majors in steals by a wide margin, while Schebler is tied for the National League lead in homers.

Garrett pitched well early this season, but then hit a rough patch. This will be the lefty's first start since May 25 when he went on the DL with a sore hip. Atlanta has faced only four southpaw starters this season, fewest in the majors.