Chase Anderson could be the most underrated pitcher in the National League. Only three pitchers have a lower NL ERA than Anderson's 2.83. Anderson is in great form, too, giving up just one run during his last four starts spanning 27 2/3 innings. He has 30 strikeouts during this time frame.

Anderson faces a San Diego squad that ranks last in the majors in runs and batting average. The under is 9-3-1 in Anderson's last 13 home starts.

The key to making this under work, though, is San Diego rookie starter Dinelson Lamet. The guy has great stuff with 25 strikeouts in 22 innings. Command is an issue, however, with him. He's had two good starts and two bad ones in a row. This is his fifth big league start and I see him bounching back here. Lamet is holding right-handed batters to a .138 average. Milwaukee's four best outfielders all bat right-handed.

There is a real chance of thunderstorms for this game, which would mean the retractable roof at Miller Park being closed. That would be a major plus for the under.