In Nova we trust. Ivan Nova has been very good for Pittsburgh all season. Nova, not Gerrit Cole, is the Pirates' best pitcher. Nova has been especially strong at home with a 2.53 ERA in seven starts this season.

It has been a disappointing year for the Pirates so far, but they have stepped up their play recently going 9-7 in their last 16 games.

I think this is a cheap home price to lay with Nova facing Blake Snell, who is 0-4 with a 6.00 ERA in eight starts for Tampa Bay. Snell also doesn't go deep into games, putting the vulnerable Rays bullpen into play probably earlier than usual.

Snell has been so bad the Rays sent him to the minors. Now he's back up. Don't expect much.