Not only do we have two bad pitchers here - Blake Snell versus Chris Smith - but the wind blowing out to right at 15 mph and Bill Welke set to be the home plate umpire.

The over has cashed 65 percent of the time Welke has been the home plate ump during the last three years at 47-25.

Snell is 0-5 with a 4.85 ERA in 10 starts this year. He's given up 34 walks in 52 innings. The over has cashed in six of Snell's past seven starts.

Tampa Bay has hit the third-most homers in baseball and draws Smith, a career minor leaguer and coverted reliever. The 36-year-old Smith has made only one career big league start. He entered this season with a 4.58 career ERA in 63 relief appearances.

Smith only is drawing the start because Jharel Cotton is on the DL. Until this season, Smith hadn't been in the big leagues since 2010. Smith doesn't expect to pitch deep into the game and the A's bullpen suffered a huge hit after trading Ryan Madson and Sean Doolittle to the Nationals.