PREMIUM
Stephen Nover's Run Line Game of the Week
(MLB) Texas vs. Tampa Bay,
Point Spread: -1.50 | 108.00 Tampa Bay (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -1.50 | 108.00 Tampa Bay (Home)
Result: Loss
The Rays lost a tough one at home to the Rangers Friday. I expect them to bounce back strong today with Chris Archer on the mound. So does the oddsmaker. I'm not going to lay that high vig, but I want the Rays going for me today so I'm playing them on the run line at a plus price.
Archer has had eight quality starts in his last 11 outings. He pitches deep into games, too, going at least six innings during his past 11 starts. This is important because the Rays bullpen, while strong at the end, are vulnerable in middle relief.
Tampa Bay has won seven of Archer's last 10 home starts. The Rangers' current linup is batting just .206 career-wise against Archer. The free-swinging Rangers are a bad fit against Archer, who ranks fourth in the majors in strikeouts.
Look for the Rays to go to town against Andrew Cashner, who is 2-6 with a 4.33 ERA on the road this season. The Rangers have dropped seven of their past nine road games when Cashner has started. The Rays have hit the fourth-most homers in baseball and rank in the top five when going against righthanded pitchers.
Archer has had eight quality starts in his last 11 outings. He pitches deep into games, too, going at least six innings during his past 11 starts. This is important because the Rays bullpen, while strong at the end, are vulnerable in middle relief.
Tampa Bay has won seven of Archer's last 10 home starts. The Rangers' current linup is batting just .206 career-wise against Archer. The free-swinging Rangers are a bad fit against Archer, who ranks fourth in the majors in strikeouts.
Look for the Rays to go to town against Andrew Cashner, who is 2-6 with a 4.33 ERA on the road this season. The Rangers have dropped seven of their past nine road games when Cashner has started. The Rays have hit the fourth-most homers in baseball and rank in the top five when going against righthanded pitchers.