Stephen Nover's NHL Saturday Totals Dominator
(NHL) Toronto vs. Montreal,
Total: 5.50 | 110.00 Under
Result: Win
Playing the Maple Leafs Over the total is getting to be mandatory especially when the oddsmaker opens their over/under at less than 6.

Great young offensive talent, an in-your-face up-tempo style and a mistake-prone defense make Toronto a perfect Over team.

Each of the Maple Leafs' four games have gone Over. The least amonnt of goals scored in any of these four games was seven goals.

Now we have a Toronto-Montreal matchup. The oddsmaker has opened this total at less than 6 because the Canadiens rank second-to-last in goals and have 2015 Hart and Vezina Trophy winner Carey Price in goal.

I still see this one going Over. Let's start with the Maple Leafs equation first.

Toronto has scored 22 goals, an average of 5.5 per game. That's the best in the league. The Maple Leafs also take the most shots per game and have the second-best power play in the NHL. Price wasn't nearly as good last season as he was in 2015. He hasn't been that sharp this season either giving up nine goals on the last 64 shots he's faced.

Montreal can take advantage of Toronto's defensive weakness. Frederik Andersen hasn't been that sharp in goal either for Toronto with a save percentage of .871. The key here is that the Canadiens are going to skate with Toronto rather than go into a defensive shell.

This quote from Canadiens coach Claude Julien is telling: "...if you plan on playing on your heels against that team (Maple Leafs) they'll eat you alive, so we are going to be on our toes. It's going to be us pushing them back with our speed, hopefully, and playing with a little bit more engery."