The American League is composed of four super powers. Three of those teams are the Astros, Yankees and Red Sox. The Indians are the fourth and they finally are getting into gear winning five in a row. The Indians have won their last five games by an average of 6.3 runs. They've have won their last 10 games by more than one run. So I feel confident laying 1 1/2 runs with them at greatly reduced juice in a pitching matchup of Francisco Liriano versus Trevor Bauer.

The Tigers have been overacheiving, but they are starting to reach their normal regression. Detroit just doesn't have the pitching and its bottom-eight offense took a big hit with Miguel Cabrera suffering a season-ending biceps injury.

Liriano hasn't pitched in four weeks because of a hamstring injury. He's winless in his last five starts. He gave up five runs on six hits, including three homers, and three walks in five innings against the White Sox during his previous start on May 26. This is the Indians' third look already at Liriano, who has a 6.10 ERA versus Clevelnd this year.

Bauer entered the majors with a high ceiling and he's living up to it now with a 2.50 ERA and 129 strikeouts in 100 2/3 innings. He's backed by a rested Cleveland bullpen.

Cleveland has dominated Detroit going 35-13 against the Tigers during the last three years, including 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.