This total has been steamed up. I understand the move given how well the Falcons and Matt Ryan looked last week in beating the Saints, 43-37. I also understand the Falcons have key defensive injuries with both of their safeties and top linebacker out.

I still see this total movement as an overreaction and enough to get involved in the Under.

Ryan carved up a bad New Orleans defense that has major concerns and injuries in its secondary. Discount that performance, though, and Ryan has a 2-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio. The Falcons realize the need to have a balanced offense. They will run the ball a lot against the Bengals even with lead back Devonta Freeman out again. That is going to keep the clock moving.

The Bengals have a solid defense. Geno Atkins is one of the better all-around defensive linemen the Falcons will face all season. Cincinnati gave up a lot of rushing yards to the Panthers last week. That's because the Bengals had trouble containing the Panthers' run-option. That's not the offense the Falcons use.

The Falcons' multiple injuries in their secondary are a concern. Andy Dalton has played well, but he's never to be trusted on the road. He does have five interceptions already. The Bengals are without their best runner, too, with Joe Mixon out.

Atlanta's pass rush should be improved with the expected return of Takk McKinley. He had recorded a sack in each of the first two games before missing the Saints game with a groin injury.