Stephen Nover's NFL Total of the Week
(NFL) Green Bay vs. Detroit,
Total: 51.00 | -115.00 Over
Result: Loss
On paper this should be a shootout with Aaron Rodgers going against Matthew Stafford inside Detroit's fast track dome.

The reality is different.

Rodgers isn't 100 percent. His mobility and leg drive on his passes aren't the same. Green Bay also has a cluster injury problem at wide receiver. Slot man Randall Cobb is out. Davante Adams and Geromino Allison may not play either. Rodgers is going to have to rely on rookie wide receivers, which he hasn't had much success doing before.

Detroit has a key injury on offense - and it's below-the-radar. Guard T.J. Lang suffered a head injury last week. He's the Lions' best offensive lineman. I doubt he plays because of concussion procedures. Kenny Wiggins replaced Lang and got swallowed up by the Cowboys.

There is going to be more running than usual between these teams, which will keep the clock going. The Lions are more committed to running the ball this week. The Packers have to protect Rodgers and their inexperienced wide receivers by running a lot, too. The Lions rank last in run defense so the Packers have even more reason to stay on the ground.