The oddsmaker could have opened this game at 7 - and it still likely would go Over. San Jose is the No. 3 goal scoring team in the NHL. Tampa Bay is No. 1.

The Sharks have scored three or more goals in 18 of their last 19 games, including the past 12. They have reached four or more goals 12 times during this span.

Tampa Bay is sure to be pumped after losing 4-2 to Toronto in its last home game. That loss followed a three-game road trip. The Lightning are now more comfortable at home. Prior to that game, Tampa Bay had scored 5.1 goals per game during its last seven home games.

These teams have a strong Over history, too, going 12-3-1 above the total during the past 16 matchups.