I'm going to fade the line movement, which has been to the Over, and go with the Under in the belief this total has become inflated. Wisconsin has gone Under in nine of its last 11 games. The Badgers have a top-10 defense. So Under always is my first look with the Badgers. Wisconsin is giving up just 57.3 points per game during its last 10 games. Indiana is averaging only 56 points in regulation during its past four games.

Indiana has a respectable defense giving up 67 points per game. The Hoosiers have surrendered just 55.5 points in regulation during their last two matchups.

The Under has cashed in five of Indian's last six home contests.