The Senators already have missed the playoffs and it's not because of their offense. They are average offensively, but dreadful defensively ranking 30th. Ottawa has allowed an average of 4.2 goals in its last seven games.

The Flyers happen to be averaging 4.2 goals in their last seven games. Philadelphia, though, has surrendered three or more goals in six of its last nine games. The Flyers are going with Brian Elliott in net rather than Carter Hart. I consider that a break for Ottawa.

The last five in the series have gone Over. This includes the first meeting this season, won by the Flyers, 7-4, on the road.