I admit that I would think twice about laying road points against Kansas State if Bill Snyder still were coaching the Wildcats. But he isn't. Chris Klieman is. It's his first season as head coach of the Wildcats.
The jury remains out on Klieman, but we do know this: Kansas State has played two Big 12 games this season. The Wildcats are 0-2 losing, 26-13, to Oklahoma State as four-point road 'dogs and falling, 31-12, to Baylor as a one-point home 'dog. 
Both TCU and Kansas State were idle last week. I'll side with TCU's Gary Patterson. It's not just a coaching edge why I endorse the Horned Frogs. 
TCU has the stronger defense and far more explosive skill position players. 
Max Duggan has thrown nine TD passes without an interception. Darius Anderson is the second-leading rusher in the Big 12 and Jalen Reagor is one of the fastest and most talented wide receivers in the country. He is widely considered to be a top-five wide receiving pro prospect. 
Kansas State doesn't come close to matching that. The Wildcats run a slow-down, dink-and-dunk type offense. Their offensive line isn't good and QB Skylar Thompson is more runner than thrower with only five TD passes. The Wildcats lack speed at the skill position spots.  
Patterson traditionally has strong defensive teams. That's the case again this year. The Horned Frogs have the 17th-best run defense and 20th-top pass defense. Only 14 teams surrender fewer yards per game than TCU. 

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is one of the hottest college football handicappers in the nation going 96-53-1 on his premium/free plays the past two seasons through Thursday. Stephen has five other CFB plays in addition to this free selection, including his Big 12 Game of the Year. All of Stephen's plays come with in-depth analysis and are guaranteed to win!)