Pace and tempo are a big key in cashing an Over play. We have that with James Madison. The Dukes are running so much they lead the nation in shortest possession time. The result is the Over is 4-1-1 in James Madison's lined games this season. 
James Madison is coming off a 94-78 home loss to Coppin State. The Dukes were 9-point favorites in that game. The Over is 27-11 following a James Madison loss. 
This opening total takes into account East Carolina's poor shooting, especially from 3-point range. But the total should have opened higher because the Pirates haven't faced an up-tempo opponent the caliber of James Madison. Instead the Pirates have played tough defensive foes as Liberty, Appalacian State and Navy. The Pirates have better scorers than what their season statistics show.