Indiana is one of the better defensive teams in the NBA giving up the sixth-fewest points per game and ranking seventh in defensive field goal percentage. The Pacers draw a banged-up Denver squad.
The Pacers are seeking revenge for a 124-116 home loss to the Nuggets from 17 days ago. The Nuggets shot 53 percent from the floor and made 24 of 27 free throws in that game. 
The Nuggets are likely to be missing three of their top five scorers with Paull Millsap, Jamal Murray and Gary Harris all injured. This means more minutes for Malik Beasley, Mason Plumlee and Michael Porter Jr., who aside from Porter, aren't scorers. The Nuggets lack a deep bench so don't look for an uptempo pace.
The Under is 12-4 the past 16 times the Nuggets have played on two day's rest. This trend makes sense because Denver's Michael Malone is an excellent defensive coach. The Nuggets have clamped down defensively during their last two home games holding Charlotte to 86 points - 17 below the Hornets' average - and limiting the high-scoring Clippers to 104 points - which is 12 points under their average.