Green Bay is playing well. But so is Oakland. I consider this Horizon League tournament game a toss-up so I'm grabbing the points with Oakland. The Golden Grizzlies are peaking at the right time going 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS in their last six games. 
Oakland defeated Green Bay, 92-88, in double overtime as a 2 1/2-point home favorite on Feb. 23. Green Bay won the first meeting between the two teams, 73-69, at home in mid-January rallying from a 15-point deficit. 
The Phoenix hold a backcourt edge, but Oakland has a huge size and rebounding edge with Xavier Hill-Mais, Brad Brechting and Daniel Oladapo. All three rank among the top 11 in rebounding in the Horizon League. 
Green Bay is just 3-9-1 ATS in its past 13 home contests. The Phoenix failed to cover as 8 1/2-point home favorites in its last game, a 74-67 win against Cleveland State this past Saturday. Oakland just beat Cleveland State at home two days ago in the first round of the Horizon League tournament, sailing to an 80-69 victory. 
The Golden Grizzlies are 7-2-1 ATS as a road 'dog and 9-3-1 ATS during their last 13 road matchups. 

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is 102-58-6 the past two years on his college basketball plays, including 36-19-3 on his last 58 CBB plays. Stephen has three premium plays going today, including his West Coast Conference Game of the Year, in addition to this free selection. Don't miss any of Stephen's plays - all of which come with his unique analysis and are guaranteed to win!)