It's a statistic rarely asked. What is Baltimore's record following a victory? The answer is 31-81. 
Not only are the Orioles off a victory against the Rays, but they've actually defeated Tampa Bay in consecutive games. I don't see a sweep happening and will lay 1 1/2 runs to reduce the juice to support this decision. 
The Rays are in circle-the-wagons mode with a four-game losing streak. This wouldn't be crucial if this were a normal season. But as we know, the season is just 60 games. So Tampa Bay absolutely can't drop another one to the Orioles. 
Yonny Chirinos is reliable. He should be effective against the Orioles for the first few innings. The Rays then have a big bullpen advantage especially with Baltimore carrying a high bullpen fatigue rating. 
Look for the Rays to jump on Baltimore's journeyman starter Tommy Milone, who was bad filling in for John Means on opening night against the Red Sox and who has a 6.75 ERA lifetime versus the Rays. That includes five starts.