PREMIUM
Stephen Nover's NFL 100-Dimer
(NFL) Denver vs. Las Vegas,
Total: 50.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 50.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
Let's get into this handicap of Denver-Las Vegas Over the total by shooting down three false perceptions.
No. 1: Derek Carr is a below average QB, more game manager than gunslinger. That may have been true before, but not this season. Carr has grasped and taken a hold of Jon Gruden's astute modes of attack. Aided by better wide receiver weapons and an underrated offensive line, Carr has a career-high and NFL fifth-best passer rating of 110. He's thrown 16 TD passes with just two interceptions.
No. 2: Denver's defense is good. It isn't. Average at best. Vic Fangio is a top-five defensive coach, but the Broncos still have surrendered an average of 35.7 points during their last three games. The Broncos are especially vulnerable to tight ends - and the Raiders have an excellent one in Darren Waller.
No. 3: The Broncos' offense is boring, held back by work-in-progress Drew Lock and the loss of their best wide receiver, Courtland Sutton. It remains up in the air if Lock will become a successful starting NFL QB. So far, though, he's displayed mobility and daringness to throw downfield instead of just check off. The Broncos have loads of weapons even without Sutton with Phillip Lindsay, Melvin Gordon, Jerry Jeudy, Noah Fant, Tim Patrick and KJ Hamler. Jeudy and Fant have star potential.
Denver is averaging 28.2 points during its last four games. The Broncos get to go against a Raiders defense that if you discount a game against the Browns two weeks ago where there were gale force winds and snow that prevented much passing, is giving up an average of 33.7 points in their last five games. Lock should have a clean pocket, too, as Las Vegas has just nine sacks and the fewest takeaways in the league with five.
No. 1: Derek Carr is a below average QB, more game manager than gunslinger. That may have been true before, but not this season. Carr has grasped and taken a hold of Jon Gruden's astute modes of attack. Aided by better wide receiver weapons and an underrated offensive line, Carr has a career-high and NFL fifth-best passer rating of 110. He's thrown 16 TD passes with just two interceptions.
No. 2: Denver's defense is good. It isn't. Average at best. Vic Fangio is a top-five defensive coach, but the Broncos still have surrendered an average of 35.7 points during their last three games. The Broncos are especially vulnerable to tight ends - and the Raiders have an excellent one in Darren Waller.
No. 3: The Broncos' offense is boring, held back by work-in-progress Drew Lock and the loss of their best wide receiver, Courtland Sutton. It remains up in the air if Lock will become a successful starting NFL QB. So far, though, he's displayed mobility and daringness to throw downfield instead of just check off. The Broncos have loads of weapons even without Sutton with Phillip Lindsay, Melvin Gordon, Jerry Jeudy, Noah Fant, Tim Patrick and KJ Hamler. Jeudy and Fant have star potential.
Denver is averaging 28.2 points during its last four games. The Broncos get to go against a Raiders defense that if you discount a game against the Browns two weeks ago where there were gale force winds and snow that prevented much passing, is giving up an average of 33.7 points in their last five games. Lock should have a clean pocket, too, as Las Vegas has just nine sacks and the fewest takeaways in the league with five.
