I'm not going to overthink this one. The Rays are 54-38 while the Braves are below .500. Atlanta starter Drew Smyly has been pitching well, but I prefer the Rays' starter, Rich Hill.

Hill is 5-0 with a 1.74 ERA in nine lifetime appearances against the Braves, including seven starters.

The Braves are minus their most dynamic player, Ronald Acuna Jr. I don't think that has been fully factored into the line.

I believe the Rays will respond well to the 9-0 embarrassing drubbing they took to the Braves Saturday.