Atlanta is playing well. But I see too much value on the underdog Reds here. Cincinnati has a better record than the Braves and has the hottest power hitter in the majors. Yes, Joey Votto has hit the most homers and driven in the most runs since the All-Star break. Calls of his demise have been greatly exaggerated. 

Rookies Vladimir Gutierrez versus Kyle Muller compose the pitching matchup. I'll side with Gutierrez against the southpaw Muller.

Gutierrez is pitching his best ball going 3-0 with a 1.86 ERA during his last three starts. He's struggled at hitter-friendly Great American Park, but is 5-1 with a 3.11 ERA on the road. 

Muller is the opposite of Gutierrez in that he has pitched worse at home where he's 0-2 with a 4.43 ERA. The Reds rank fourth in the National League in slugging percentage against lefties.