The Diamondbacks have won the first two games of this series. I don't see them winning a third straight, especially facing a hot Joe Musgrove. So does the oddsmaker at this huge lay price. I see this as a kill spot for San Diego so I'll greatly reduce the vigorish by laying 1 1/2 runs on the run line with the Padres.

Musgrove is 3-0 with a 1.44 ERA during his last four starts. The righthander has a 2.97 lifetime ERA versus the Diamondbacks in six appearances, including five starts.

The Diamondbacks have lost 42 of their last 55 games against a righty starter. Arizona has the worst record in the majors.

Arizona is giving Tyler Gilbert a starting shot here. This will be his first career start for the Diamondbacks. He faces a top-10 offense.